To determine the implied probability of a position, multiply the cost by 5. For instance, if you pay $15 to predict ‘yes’, the market implies a 75% probability of the product settling above the listed price.
To determine the implied probability of a position, multiply the cost by 5. For instance, if you pay $15 to predict ‘yes’, the market implies a 75% probability of the product settling above the listed price.
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